Top dividend-payers in the S&P 500 currently include oil and gas stocks, though that may not last for long.
Remember income?
Jokes aside, the last decade of very low interest rates, plus stock gains that outstripped increases in dividend payments, made it harder for retirement investors to live off income from dividends and interest. The dividend yield of the S&P 500 index is now just 1.5%, down from about 2% for much of the 2010s.
Is there a way to position yourself to reap dividends in this environment? Of course there is.
“Just buying the top yielders is not a good idea,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. “You need to look at percentage of profits the company pays as dividends, and the S&P Earnings & Dividends Quality Rankings.”
That doesn’t necessarily mean the top yielders are bad plays, though. Here’s a look at the top nine dividend-paying stocks of the S&P 500:
S&P 500 STOCK | TRAILING DIVIDEND YIELD (AS OF JULY 12) |
Lincoln National Corp. (ticker: LNC) | 6.9% |
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG) | 7% |
AT&T Inc. (T) | 7.3% |
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) | 7.5% |
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) | 7.9% |
KeyCorp (KEY) | 8% |
Altria Group Inc. (MO) | 8.2% |
Devon Energy Corp. (DVN) | 8.8% |
Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (PXD) | 10.7% |
Lincoln National Corp. (LNC)
Shares of Lincoln tanked after the Philadelphia-area insurer announced third-quarter results that included a $2 billion write-down it blamed on “updated guaranteed universal life insurance lapse assumptions in response to emerging experience, combined with recently validated external industry perspectives.” In other words, it had to change assumptions about a series of issues in its life insurance business, including how long policyholders would retain their universal life coverage as they aged and how long they might live.
The company’s net income, let alone its cash flow, used to easily cover the $300 million-plus it spent on dividends annually. But then, its yield used to be much lower when the stock price was at $75 a share in 2021, compared with around $26 now. With losses continuing into the first quarter of 2023, and the company cutting costs and suspending share buybacks, the dividend could land on a future list of cuttable expenses if Lincoln doesn’t right its ship. On the bright side, the stock has risen since the first-quarter earnings, as executives express confidence in Lincoln’s ability to raise fresh capital, and ride its profitable annuities unit as it refocuses its life insurance business.
Dividend yield: 6.9%
Diamondback Energy Inc. (FANG)
This oil and gas producer from Texas’ Permian Basin focuses primarily on fracking along the Wolfcamp and Spraberry shale formations within Midland basin and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware basin. While the boom-and-bust of the oil and gas industry can lead to volatile payouts, Diamondback also owns midstream assets (the picks and shovels) including 770 miles of crude oil and natural gas gathering pipelines along with an integrated water system.
Diamondback has an elevated trailing dividend due to special dividends paid out as oil and gas prices rose in 2022. It’s also been growing its quarterly dividend from a 40-cent quarterly payout in the first half of 2021 to 80 cents per share in its most recent quarter. The company has been on the rise in July as it approaches its anticipated second-quarter earnings release on July 31.
Dividend yield: 7%
AT&T Inc. (T)
AT&T’s stock has been another messy one, losing more than 25% in the last 12 months to push the yield up to 7.3%.
A disastrous acquisition of Time Warner, spun off at a loss in April of 2022, is one big reason for skepticism about the company’s management. Like Verizon, it’s also playing defense against T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS), which doesn’t pay a dividend as it bolsters its network and continues to integrate Sprint, which it bought in 2020.
But AT&T spent about $10 billion on its dividend last year, and had more than $35 billion in operating cash flow from continuing operations. It can sustain that payout for as long as executives want, barring a collapse in the wireless market.
Dividend yield: 7.3%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)
Verizon is in a dividend-friendly business, since wireless phones throw off lots of free cash flow. But its shares have been under consistent pressure because of competition from AT&T, also a top dividend payer, and the more growth-focused T-Mobile.
The 7.3% dividend has been inflated by a 26% drop in the price of the company’s shares over the last year, through July 7. And the stock drop made the total return on shares negative, but with the payout requiring less than half of last year’s net income, and earnings close to steady even as spending on 5G networks and other capital projects rises, there’s little reason to suspect the dividend is at risk. However, the company has delayed stock buybacks in order to pay for new wireless licenses. For now, Wall Street’s discussion is more about whether Verizon can hold its position rather than resume quick growth.
Dividend yield: 7.3%
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA)
There are few stocks that better illustrate the volatility of oil company dividends than Houston-based Coterra, which paid out $1.99 billion to shareholders last year – up from just $159.4 million two years earlier. Certainly, with $4.1 billion of 2022 net income, the money was there. But the quarterly payout dropped by $70 million in the first quarter this year, and if inflationary expectations break down, then the likely effect is that the dividend will move still lower.
The company says that it mitigates its swings by investing across a spectrum of oil and gas assets, but energy businesses do remain correlated – it’s rare for gasoline to move sharply up when natural gas prices move way down. Its dividends for the last four quarters work out to 7.9% of the current stock price. The stock is up around 10% this year, and around 6% since this time last year. Natural gas prices are off more than two-thirds since last summer, and West Texas crude oil has dropped to around $75 a barrel from $110.
Dividend yield: 7.9%
KeyCorp (KEY)
This Ohio-based regional bank has gotten hammered this year on concerns about its exposure to commercial real estate, falling around 40% as markets speculate about how many office buildings will default on loans that come due and can’t be refinanced at today’s higher rates. That’s why its yield has climbed all the way to 8%, the highest in the benchmark market index, according to CFRA data.
Clearly, betting the retirement fund on KeyCorp last December wouldn’t have been a good short-term idea, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a bad investment. Only 0.2% of its loans were delinquent at the end of the first quarter, and the company said on its earnings call that it has only a small exposure to the office sector – by far the most at-risk part of the commercial real estate market as companies continue to let many employees work from home, at least part of the time.
With earnings season at hand, watch for whether the office loan portfolio holds up. If it does, KeyCorp can deliver both income and a nice capital gain. The same could be true of Detroit-based Comerica Inc. (CMA) and Rhode Island-based Citizens Financial Group Inc. (CFG), which rank just outside the top nine dividend payers.
Dividend yield: 8%
Altria Group Inc. (MO)
Death, taxes and cigarette sales are all pretty certain concepts, which is one reason the maker of Marlboros and other tobacco products pays such a steady, high dividend. The company said in March that its strategy calls for it to remain the leading tobacco company at least through 2028, and to deliver mid-single-digit growth in earnings and dividends over that stretch. The company devoted almost all of its first-quarter 2023 net income to paying its dividend, but the steady earnings growth predicted suggests that the payout is on solid ground.
The company also has diversification plans that focus on products like smokeless tobacco and cannabis. It owns equity stakes in Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), the world’s largest brewer, and Cronos Group Inc. (CRON), a leading Canadian cannabinoid company.
Dividend yield: 8.2%
Devon Energy Corp. (DVN)
Almost no company did more than Oklahoma-based Devon to popularize hydraulic fracking, the drilling technology that drove down the cost of U.S. oil production (and prices for both gasoline and natural gas) since the early 2000s. Thanks to the war in Ukraine pushing prices back up, Devon made $6.04 billion last year and paid out $3.4 billion in dividends.
But Devon’s history is that its dividend fluctuates with oil prices, so it’s not a set-it-and-forget-it income stock. Recent quarterly payouts have been as low as 18 cents a share and as high as $1.27. If oil prices keep coming down, so might the dividends of Devon and other energy stocks in this list.
Dividend yield: 8.8%
Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (PXD)
Pioneer is the third-largest oil producer in the Permian basin, behind Chevron Corp. (CVX) and ConocoPhillips (COP). The company has performed well recently, beating Wall Street forecasts for the most recent quarter, and climbing high in mid-April on buyout talks with Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM).
Thanks again to the base-plus-variable dividend plan, Pioneer was able to throw off big returns in 2022. But like the other energy producers on this list, its payout will shrink if oil prices decline.
Dividend yield: 10.7%